nOver value, under value bets
Target for Over/Under slips is placing a bet for specific result of a match. Just like handicap bets, bookmakers offer a very wide offer of types. The perfect disciplines in which these bets are used are hockey and other team sports. what is the purpose to use this slips ?
It’s really good idea to use it when you have bets where teams have a lot of negative arguments against in defensive lines – for Over. Nevertheless, matches where first choice players are missing in the offensive lines are perfect for – Under. You have to not take into consideration the history of teams, matches and leagues in which the average # of points per match predict Over or Under slips. Skipping due diligence analysis mentioned above, it is not profitable to invest into a bet only taking into account on statistics
The probability of winning this sport bets is very small and the more games you will pick, the smaller chance to achieve position outcome is. Looking for events for a bet without reading info about them, we are acting the type of game referred as recreational only for fun.
What is the right way in creating a reliable analysis of the match?
Real-time monitoring of media news, source of news, matches announcements, verification of found data – these are the area of interest to make your betting coupons at high quality. Our resources will certainly serve as valuable sources, but in the long run, each of you will be able to create their own knowledge database. The goal is to take the key insiders named – game changer also filtered it against information rumours and Fake Data.
You are by some way familiar with the term “insider”. If not, check that, sport events that gain a strong favourite by a combination of different circumstances, for example, a wave of external factors, etc. are defined as a “Insider”. Value bets events should be particularly taken into consideration cause gives the best probability of a positive score.
Looking for the interesting games to bet, it’s worth to compare odds at various sites (e.g. soccer24,Oddsportal, transfery), as well as odds slipping into bookmaker offer. Depending on time you have to conduct the news checking, you can start with events at which you observe significant changes in odds – the time wchich is needed to search for valuable information will be really short. Another advantage is the quick filtering of competition, which are worth to take for deep check in the first priority. From the other way the initial odds has already went down and investment in such an slip will not bring such a profit anymore. Therefore, if you have more time for analysis, you have to start by looking for news regardless of what odds are provided for events. If you can confirm “game changer” in front of the bookmaker, your potential earning can be several dozen percent bigger.
Bet win % setting, setting the stake
Money adjusted matrix have to be in use, there are categories with external indicators which have strong influence on the final outcome in terms of the probability of success. Invested money value should be estimated taking into account clear criteria that minimize the risk of failure. So that, when setting the amount of invested money, bellow’s arguments should be taken into consideration. Detail tips creation methodology is here transfery:
For Stake 1-3 – No strong evidence for advantage of particular opponent, impossible to verify found information. Betting on “Public Stars from TV”. The tipster’s faith in winning the match. Referring to the Predicting win of visiting opponents. Faith in break after a series of wins. Public info about team injures has been available for several days. Friendly games for noting. Betting based only on dropped odds without checking the reason. Betting amateur level leagues – out of top30 based on UEFA ranking.
For stakes 4-6 – Placing a Bet on event which don’t contain arguments showed in previous category stakes 1-3. Checked and confirmed missing of 2 key players in one team. Betting for host win. Analysis of previous games in terms of series of wins or “connected” bets. If H2H upcoming matches looks to be fixed game or “connected” bet a bet other way.
For Stakes 7-10: Confirmed missing of 5 and more key players from one team. Match for high stake. Events from top European leagues. Unexpected team information to situation into match-day squad 1hour before starting whistle (ex. Team trainer decision to rest half of the strongest players). Checked conditions described in above category stakes.
Confirmed lack of more than half the squad. “Letting go” of the game. Fulfilled requirements for above stakes.
We would like one more time mention, check constantly H2H results between players. There are the teams that have a friendship relation one to another in the way of taking back particular games. It can be seen by analysing historical competition, where specific outocmes cyclically appears. If we have in mind such a outcome, the match should be skipped or from the other hand – just invest accordingly.
Implementation conditions above and keeping consistency in betting, you are lowering the risk of losing capital and your chances for taking money back are incomparably higher.
Invest info bet
The final step of the releasing a good bet is, of course, investing capital the previously estimated stakes. You have to be fast when evidences found is really strong and you are estimating to bet with stake 10. Remember to stay one step ahead of bookmaker in the race for really valuable tips. In the worst case, the Bookies will even remove the event from the offer. It’s worth to act quickly, finding for events regardless of odds changes, have accounts in various bookmakers and pick this operator who overslept with the odds limitation. But, take into account that the beauty of sport stick in the fact that from time to time unexpected losts occur. Seriously don’t invest all capital into one must win. Recommended practice is to split your capital and invest at once 20% from total budget, so in this case level of 30% of your total budget is in line to stake 10 in our methodology of creation valuable coupons.